FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
Superflex · Week 11 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
Superflex. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Josh AllenQB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.7Sleeper 29.2FantasyPros 22.925.5Expected FP - 2
Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.9Sleeper 23.6FantasyPros 22.524.5Expected FP - 3
C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.4Sleeper 19.6FantasyPros 19.622.4Expected FP - 4
Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 21.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.5Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 20.021.9Expected FP - 5
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.3Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.820.9Expected FP - 6
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.420.8Expected FP - 7
Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 21.1FantasyPros 19.520.5Expected FP - 8
Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.6Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 21.420.4Expected FP - 9
Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.4Sleeper 21.5FantasyPros 17.919.6Expected FP - 10
Bo NixQB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.2Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 18.419.5Expected FP - 11
Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.1Sleeper 19.3FantasyPros 19.318.7Expected FP - 12
Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 18.818.6Expected FP - 13
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 16.617.5Expected FP - 14
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 13.617.2Expected FP - 15
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 17.016.8Expected FP - 16
Jared GoffQB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 17.2FantasyPros 19.516.7Expected FP - 17
Cam WardQB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.4Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 17.116.6Expected FP - 18
Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 18.915.8Expected FP - 19
Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 17.415.8Expected FP - 20
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 15.215.6Expected FP - 21
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 12.815.6Expected FP - 22
Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.0Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 16.315.4Expected FP - 23
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 15.9FantasyPros 12.915.3Expected FP - 24
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 13.815.0Expected FP - 25
Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 16.414.8Expected FP - 26
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 12.414.7Expected FP - 27
Brock PurdyQB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.0Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 13.214.6Expected FP - 28
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 17.4FantasyPros 11.814.5Expected FP - 29
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 12.614.4Expected FP - 30
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 13.014.2Expected FP - 31
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 12.814.1Expected FP - 32
Justin HerbertQB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.6Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 15.214.0Expected FP - 33
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.3Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 12.914.0Expected FP - 34
Jacoby BrissettQB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 15.613.7Expected FP - 35
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 10.813.4Expected FP - 36
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 13.013.4Expected FP - 37
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 12.012.9Expected FP - 38
J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 15.212.6Expected FP - 39
Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 9.412.3Expected FP - 40
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 11.912.2Expected FP - 41
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 13.311.9Expected FP - 42
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 9.511.0Expected FP - 43
George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 11.410.8Expected FP - 44
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 10.610.7Expected FP - 45
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 12.210.5Expected FP - 46
Fernando MendozaQB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.5Sleeper 0.0FantasyPros 14.010.5Expected FP - 47
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 10.110.4Expected FP - 48
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 9.810.4Expected FP - 49
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.910.4Expected FP - 50
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 9.19.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
