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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 11 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
0.029.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.5Expected FP
  2. 2
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    24.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    21.9Expected FP
  5. 5
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.9Expected FP
  6. 6
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  7. 7
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.5Expected FP
  8. 8
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.4Expected FP
  9. 9
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.5Expected FP
  11. 11
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  13. 13
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  14. 14
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  15. 15
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    16.7Expected FP
  17. 17
    Cam WardQB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  18. 18
    Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  19. 19
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  21. 21
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  22. 22
    Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  23. 23
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  24. 24
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  26. 26
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.5Expected FP
  29. 29
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  32. 32
    Justin HerbertQB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  33. 33
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  34. 34
    Jacoby BrissettQB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  35. 35
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  38. 38
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  39. 39
    Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  40. 40
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  41. 41
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  42. 42
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  43. 43
    George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  44. 44
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  45. 45
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  46. 46
    Fernando MendozaQB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  47. 47
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  48. 48
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  49. 49
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  50. 50
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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