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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 11 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
46 shown · common FP scale
0.324.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  2. 2
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  6. 6
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  7. 7
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  8. 8
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  10. 10
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  11. 11
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  13. 13
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  15. 15
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  16. 16
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  18. 18
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  20. 20
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  21. 21
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  24. 24
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  25. 25
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  26. 26
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  27. 27
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  29. 29
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  31. 31
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  32. 32
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  34. 34
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  35. 35
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  36. 36
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  37. 37
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  38. 38
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  39. 39
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  40. 40
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  41. 41
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  42. 42
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  43. 43
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  44. 44
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  46. 46
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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