FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 11 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 14.215.2Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 12.614.4Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 10.813.4Expected FP - 4
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 11.512.0Expected FP - 5
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 9.511.0Expected FP - 6
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 10.510.7Expected FP - 7
George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 11.110.6Expected FP - 8
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 10.110.4Expected FP - 9
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 9.810.4Expected FP - 10
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.910.4Expected FP - 11
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 8.19.7Expected FP - 12
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 9.29.5Expected FP - 13
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 8.59.5Expected FP - 14
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 9.09.1Expected FP - 15
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 7.89.1Expected FP - 16
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 7.18.9Expected FP - 17
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 8.18.9Expected FP - 18
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.58.6Expected FP - 19
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 9.38.5Expected FP - 20
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 7.38.4Expected FP - 21
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 8.28.2Expected FP - 22
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 7.67.8Expected FP - 23
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 7.67.7Expected FP - 24
Mike EvansWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 12.9FantasyPros 4.97.6Expected FP - 25
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 6.87.5Expected FP - 26
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 8.27.4Expected FP - 27
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 6.87.3Expected FP - 28
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 6.87.3Expected FP - 29
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 7.67.0Expected FP - 30
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 6.36.8Expected FP - 31
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 4.76.7Expected FP - 32
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.06.6Expected FP - 33
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.86.5Expected FP - 34
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 6.26.5Expected FP - 35
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 6.46.4Expected FP - 36
Josh DownsWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 6.56.3Expected FP - 37
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 5.96.2Expected FP - 38
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 5.06.1Expected FP - 39
Tank DellWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 1.9FantasyPros 5.85.8Expected FP - 40
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 5.25.7Expected FP - 41
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.35.5Expected FP - 42
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 5.35.5Expected FP - 43
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.85.4Expected FP - 44
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 6.05.4Expected FP - 45
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 4.55.3Expected FP - 46
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 3.65.2Expected FP - 47
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 4.25.2Expected FP - 48
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 6.35.1Expected FP - 49
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 6.25.1Expected FP - 50
Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 2.95.1Expected FP - 51
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 5.95.0Expected FP - 52
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.5Sleeper 3.3FantasyPros 6.24.9Expected FP - 53
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 3.74.9Expected FP - 54
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 3.24.7Expected FP - 55
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 5.34.6Expected FP - 56
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 4.74.5Expected FP - 57
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 3.94.5Expected FP - 58
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.14.3Expected FP - 59
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 3.83.9Expected FP - 60
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 5.0FantasyPros 3.03.9Expected FP - 61
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 3.03.7Expected FP - 62
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 2.7FantasyPros 4.03.6Expected FP - 63
Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.2Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 3.73.5Expected FP - 64
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 3.83.5Expected FP - 65
Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 2.03.5Expected FP - 66
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.1Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 3.43.3Expected FP - 67
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.4Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 4.33.3Expected FP - 68
Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.2Sleeper 1.6FantasyPros 3.32.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
