FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 11 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 9.412.3Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 8.69.4Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 8.28.7Expected FP - 4
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 6.77.9Expected FP - 5
George KittleTE · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 6.57.9Expected FP - 6
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.77.4Expected FP - 7
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 6.27.2Expected FP - 8
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 8.57.1Expected FP - 9
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 9.16.8Expected FP - 10
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 5.06.2Expected FP - 11
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 3.65.8Expected FP - 12
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 6.65.6Expected FP - 13
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 7.35.5Expected FP - 14
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 3.95.2Expected FP - 15
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 5.05.0Expected FP - 16
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 2.55.0Expected FP - 17
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 3.24.9Expected FP - 18
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 3.04.9Expected FP - 19
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 3.84.8Expected FP - 20
Michael MayerTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.7Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 5.14.7Expected FP - 21
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 2.44.5Expected FP - 22
Cade OttonTE · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 4.14.3Expected FP - 23
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 4.84.0Expected FP - 24
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 3.44.0Expected FP - 25
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 2.83.6Expected FP - 26
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 1.93.5Expected FP - 27
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 2.43.2Expected FP - 28
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 1.93.1Expected FP - 29
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 1.9Sleeper 3.92.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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