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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 11 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
69 shown · common FP scale
0.915.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  4. 4
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  6. 6
    George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  7. 7
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  8. 8
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  9. 9
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  10. 10
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  11. 11
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  12. 12
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  13. 13
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  15. 15
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  16. 16
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  17. 17
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  18. 18
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  21. 21
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  23. 23
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  24. 24
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  25. 25
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  27. 27
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  29. 29
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  30. 30
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  31. 31
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  32. 32
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  33. 33
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  34. 34
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  35. 35
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  36. 36
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  38. 38
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  39. 39
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  40. 40
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  41. 41
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  43. 43
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  44. 44
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  45. 45
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  46. 46
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  47. 47
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  48. 48
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  49. 49
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  50. 50
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  51. 51
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  52. 52
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  53. 53
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  54. 54
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  55. 55
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  56. 56
    Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  57. 57
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  58. 58
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  59. 59
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.4Expected FP
  60. 60
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  61. 61
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  62. 62
    Chimere DikeWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  63. 63
    Ashton DulinWR · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  64. 64
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  65. 65
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  66. 66
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  67. 67
    Laquon TreadwellWR · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  68. 68
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  69. 69
    Deion BurksWR · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

Make your comparison

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