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Fortified Rankings.

FLEX · Week 11 · Standard · RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
6.024.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  2. 2
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  4. 4
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  7. 7
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  8. 8
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  10. 10
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.5Expected FP
  11. 11
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  13. 13
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  15. 15
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  18. 18
    Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  19. 19
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  21. 21
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  22. 22
    George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  25. 25
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  26. 26
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  27. 27
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  28. 28
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  29. 29
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  31. 31
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  32. 32
    Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  33. 33
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  34. 34
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  35. 35
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  37. 37
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  38. 38
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  39. 39
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  40. 40
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  41. 41
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  42. 42
    Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  43. 43
    Travis KelceTE · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  44. 44
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  46. 46
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  47. 47
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  48. 48
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  49. 49
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  50. 50
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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