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Week 142026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 14 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
86 shown · common FP scale
0.021.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.7Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  4. 4
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  5. 5
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  8. 8
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  13. 13
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  14. 14
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  15. 15
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  18. 18
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  19. 19
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  21. 21
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  26. 26
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  27. 27
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  30. 30
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  32. 32
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  33. 33
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  35. 35
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  36. 36
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  39. 39
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  40. 40
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  41. 41
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  42. 42
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  43. 43
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  44. 44
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  45. 45
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  46. 46
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  47. 47
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  48. 48
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  49. 49
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  50. 50
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  51. 51
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  52. 52
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  53. 53
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  54. 54
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  55. 55
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  56. 56
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  57. 57
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  58. 58
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  59. 59
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  60. 60
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  61. 61
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  62. 62
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  63. 63
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  64. 64
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  65. 65
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  66. 66
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  67. 67
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  68. 68
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  69. 69
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  70. 70
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  71. 71
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  72. 72
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  73. 73
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  74. 74
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  75. 75
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  76. 76
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  77. 77
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  78. 78
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  79. 79
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  80. 80
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  81. 81
    Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  82. 82
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  83. 83
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  84. 84
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  85. 85
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  86. 86
    Jauan JenningsWR · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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