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Week 142026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 14 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
56 shown · common FP scale
0.024.7
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.5Expected FP
  2. 2
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  4. 4
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.1Expected FP
  5. 5
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  8. 8
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  9. 9
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  13. 13
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  14. 14
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  15. 15
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  17. 17
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  18. 18
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  20. 20
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  21. 21
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  22. 22
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  23. 23
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  24. 24
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  25. 25
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  26. 26
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  27. 27
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  28. 28
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  30. 30
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  31. 31
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  32. 32
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  34. 34
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  35. 35
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  37. 37
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  38. 38
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  39. 39
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  40. 40
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  41. 41
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  42. 42
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  43. 43
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  44. 44
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  45. 45
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  46. 46
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  47. 47
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  49. 49
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  50. 50
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  51. 51
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  52. 52
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  53. 53
    Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  54. 54
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  55. 55
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  56. 56
    MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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