FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 14 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 10.313.7Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 11.111.7Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 10.111.7Expected FP - 4
Travis KelceTE · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 10.710.3Expected FP - 5
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 7.99.5Expected FP - 6
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 10.69.3Expected FP - 7
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 6.68.8Expected FP - 8
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 7.58.5Expected FP - 9
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 7.28.5Expected FP - 10
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 9.18.1Expected FP - 11
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 8.47.9Expected FP - 12
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.17.7Expected FP - 13
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 8.17.6Expected FP - 14
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 8.27.4Expected FP - 15
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 6.67.4Expected FP - 16
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 6.57.3Expected FP - 17
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.77.1Expected FP - 18
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.57.1Expected FP - 19
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 7.07.0Expected FP - 20
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 5.56.5Expected FP - 21
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.26.5Expected FP - 22
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 4.46.2Expected FP - 23
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 4.36.1Expected FP - 24
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 5.56.0Expected FP - 25
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 4.95.7Expected FP - 26
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 3.6FantasyPros 7.05.7Expected FP - 27
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 6.85.6Expected FP - 28
Michael MayerTE · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 4.35.6Expected FP - 29
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 4.85.6Expected FP - 30
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 4.15.0Expected FP - 31
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.0Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 7.64.8Expected FP - 32
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 6.54.8Expected FP - 33
Cade OttonTE · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 3.74.8Expected FP - 34
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 3.6FantasyPros 4.54.6Expected FP - 35
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 3.44.6Expected FP - 36
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 3.44.5Expected FP - 37
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 4.14.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
