FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
D/ST · Week 14 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
D/ST. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · All rankable defenses
- 1
Seattle SeahawksD/ST · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 8.88.3Expected FP - 2
Philadelphia EaglesD/ST · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.77.0Expected FP - 3
Atlanta FalconsD/ST · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.06.8Expected FP - 4
Chicago BearsD/ST · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.96.8Expected FP - 5
Denver BroncosD/ST · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 7.46.6Expected FP - 6
Baltimore RavensD/ST · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.26.5Expected FP - 7
Jacksonville JaguarsD/ST · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.56.5Expected FP - 8
Tampa Bay BuccaneersD/ST · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 5.36.3Expected FP - 9
New England PatriotsD/ST · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.96.1Expected FP - 10
Houston TexansD/ST · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.56.0Expected FP - 11
Las Vegas RaidersD/ST · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 6.26.0Expected FP - 12
Los Angeles ChargersD/ST · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 6.95.9Expected FP - 13
Detroit LionsD/ST · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.4FantasyPros 5.65.9Expected FP - 14
Kansas City ChiefsD/ST · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 7.05.8Expected FP - 15
Indianapolis ColtsD/ST · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 5.25.8Expected FP - 16
New York GiantsD/ST · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 5.85.6Expected FP - 17
Carolina PanthersD/ST · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 5.25.3Expected FP - 18
Minnesota VikingsD/ST · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 5.45.2Expected FP - 19
Cleveland BrownsD/ST · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 6.35.1Expected FP - 20
Pittsburgh SteelersD/ST · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 5.75.1Expected FP - 21
San Francisco 49ersD/ST · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 4.34.9Expected FP - 22
New York JetsD/ST · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 4.9FantasyPros 4.54.9Expected FP - 23
Buffalo BillsD/ST · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.04.8Expected FP - 24
New Orleans SaintsD/ST · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 5.54.7Expected FP - 25
Los Angeles RamsD/ST · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 4.24.5Expected FP - 26
Washington CommandersD/ST · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 4.14.5Expected FP - 27
Green Bay PackersD/ST · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 3.9FantasyPros 5.04.1Expected FP - 28
Cincinnati BengalsD/ST · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 2.0FantasyPros 5.94.0Expected FP - 29
Miami DolphinsD/ST · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 1.0FantasyPros 4.62.8Expected FP - 30
Tennessee TitansD/ST · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.8Sleeper 1.1FantasyPros 4.52.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
Make your comparison
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