Should I drop Sam Darnold for Gardner Minshew II?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Gardner Minshew II for Sam Darnold

This week’s projections are 0.0 FP for Sam Darnold and 9.8 FP for Gardner Minshew II. Gardner Minshew II leads by 11.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:15 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

0.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Sam Darnold FAAB guide ↗

28.2%rostered on ESPN-1.52 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Gardner Minshew II

QB · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

9.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Gardner Minshew II FAAB guide ↗

3.1%rostered on ESPN+0.06 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Sam Darnold is 28.2% rostered; Gardner Minshew II is 3.1% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 0.0 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 28.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.52 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Gardner Minshew II

Gardner Minshew II projects for 9.8 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 9.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 3.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.06 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.8 FP -1.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.6 FP
FantasyPros: 9.8 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Sam Darnold	Gardner Minshew II
Next 3 weeks	16.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	35.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	115.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	127.0 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	52.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	60.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Sam Darnold	Gardner Minshew II
Week 9	0.0 FPvs ARI · OUT	9.8 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 10	16.1 FPvs LVHigher projection	13.1 FPvs LAR
Week 11	BYE	12.5 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 12	12.8 FPvs SF	16.6 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	18.0 FPvs DALHigher projection	14.6 FPvs PHI
Week 14	16.1 FPvs NYGHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	14.2 FPvs PHI	15.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	12.5 FPvs LAR	15.3 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	13.8 FPvs CAR	16.6 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	12.2 FPvs LAR	13.3 FPvs SFHigher projection