Should I drop Sam Darnold for Daniel Jones?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold retains a 20.0 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 1:21 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs CHI

Stats & schedule ›

15.3FF projected FP

Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET

30.4%rostered on ESPN-0.17 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

12.0FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

12.2%rostered on ESPN-0.36 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Sam Darnold is 30.4% rostered; Daniel Jones is 12.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 15.3 Standard points against CHI this week. His recent scoring average is 11.1 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 30.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.17 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 15.3 FP
ESPN: 14.5 FP
Sleeper: 14.9 FP
FantasyPros: 16.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.4 FP
Workload: 14.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 14.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 6.2–23.7 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones projects for 12.0 Standard points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. He is rostered in 12.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.0 FP
ESPN: 11.2 FP
Sleeper: 11.1 FP
FantasyPros: 12.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 10.7 FP
Workload: 10.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 10.2 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 4.3–16.4 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Sam Darnold	Daniel Jones
Next 3 weeks	49.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	40.9 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	145.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	125.1 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	51.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	47.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Sam Darnold	Daniel Jones
Week 8	15.3 FPvs CHIHigher projection	12.0 FPvs JAC
Week 9	17.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	14.5 FPvs DAL
Week 10	16.4 FPvs LVHigher projection	14.4 FPvs MIA
Week 11	BYE	12.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 12	13.0 FPvs SFHigher projection	12.6 FPvs NYG
Week 13	16.2 FPvs DALHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	14.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection	11.8 FPvs PHI
Week 15	13.7 FPvs PHIHigher projection	12.8 FPvs TEN
Week 16	12.7 FPvs LARHigher projection	12.2 FPvs CIN
Week 17	13.2 FPvs CARHigher projection	11.0 FPvs CLE
Week 18	12.3 FPvs LARHigher projection	11.4 FPvs JAC

Outlook updated Oct 30, 1:22 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

14.5 FP18.8 FP