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Week 182026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 18 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
25 shown · common FP scale
13.327.6
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    25.5Expected FP
  2. 2
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    24.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.6Expected FP
  4. 4
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    22.5Expected FP
  8. 8
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    22.2Expected FP
  9. 9
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    21.5Expected FP
  10. 10
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    21.3Expected FP
  11. 11
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    20.1Expected FP
  13. 13
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.8Expected FP
  14. 14
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.0Expected FP
  15. 15
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.1Expected FP
  17. 17
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  18. 18
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  21. 21
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.9Expected FP
  24. 24
    Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  25. 25
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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