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Week 182026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 18 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
59 shown · common FP scale
1.926.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.1Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    21.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.7Expected FP
  7. 7
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  8. 8
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  9. 9
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  10. 10
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  11. 11
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  13. 13
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  15. 15
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  17. 17
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  18. 18
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  19. 19
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  20. 20
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  21. 21
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  24. 24
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  25. 25
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  26. 26
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  29. 29
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  30. 30
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  32. 32
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  33. 33
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  35. 35
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  36. 36
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  39. 39
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  40. 40
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  41. 41
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  43. 43
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  44. 44
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  45. 45
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  46. 46
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  47. 47
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  48. 48
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  49. 49
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  50. 50
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  51. 51
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  52. 52
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  53. 53
    Corey KinerRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  54. 54
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
  55. 55
    Khalil HerbertRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  56. 56
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  57. 57
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  58. 58
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.5Expected FP
  59. 59
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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