FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 18 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 13.214.2Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 11.913.9Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.513.8Expected FP - 4
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 12.713.1Expected FP - 5
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 12.112.6Expected FP - 6
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.912.6Expected FP - 7
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.712.5Expected FP - 8
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 11.511.4Expected FP - 9
Mike EvansWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 7.811.0Expected FP - 10
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 8.610.8Expected FP - 11
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 9.710.7Expected FP - 12
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 10.610.6Expected FP - 13
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 8.710.6Expected FP - 14
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.310.2Expected FP - 15
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 8.69.8Expected FP - 16
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 9.89.5Expected FP - 17
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.59.5Expected FP - 18
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 9.09.4Expected FP - 19
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 9.39.1Expected FP - 20
George PickensWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 8.88.9Expected FP - 21
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 8.18.9Expected FP - 22
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 8.38.5Expected FP - 23
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 9.58.4Expected FP - 24
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 6.98.2Expected FP - 25
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 7.98.1Expected FP - 26
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 7.07.9Expected FP - 27
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 4.97.8Expected FP - 28
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.07.7Expected FP - 29
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 6.67.6Expected FP - 30
Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.07.6Expected FP - 31
KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.77.3Expected FP - 32
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 7.57.1Expected FP - 33
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 8.07.1Expected FP - 34
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 5.57.0Expected FP - 35
Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 7.77.0Expected FP - 36
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 4.56.7Expected FP - 37
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.96.6Expected FP - 38
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 6.06.6Expected FP - 39
Tank DellWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 1.9FantasyPros 6.86.6Expected FP - 40
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.06.6Expected FP - 41
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.96.5Expected FP - 42
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 8.36.5Expected FP - 43
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 6.16.5Expected FP - 44
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 5.66.4Expected FP - 45
DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 5.86.3Expected FP - 46
Josh DownsWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.96.3Expected FP - 47
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 5.96.3Expected FP - 48
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 6.26.2Expected FP - 49
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 4.36.0Expected FP - 50
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 4.15.8Expected FP - 51
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.05.8Expected FP - 52
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 7.35.8Expected FP - 53
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.45.8Expected FP - 54
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.85.8Expected FP - 55
Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 3.95.7Expected FP - 56
Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.2FantasyPros 5.55.7Expected FP - 57
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 5.85.6Expected FP - 58
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.75.5Expected FP - 59
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.35.5Expected FP - 60
Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.3FantasyPros 3.75.5Expected FP - 61
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 3.85.2Expected FP - 62
Mack HollinsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 4.15.1Expected FP - 63
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.4Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 5.64.9Expected FP - 64
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 6.34.9Expected FP - 65
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 3.84.8Expected FP - 66
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 3.44.8Expected FP - 67
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 5.54.7Expected FP - 68
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 4.24.5Expected FP - 69
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 4.94.4Expected FP - 70
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 5.04.4Expected FP - 71
Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 2.94.2Expected FP - 72
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 5.2FantasyPros 3.84.2Expected FP - 73
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 4.74.1Expected FP - 74
Chris BellWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 4.24.0Expected FP - 75
Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 3.54.0Expected FP - 76
Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.2FantasyPros 3.33.7Expected FP - 77
Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.7Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.43.6Expected FP - 78
Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 1.83.4Expected FP - 79
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.7Sleeper 3.5FantasyPros 3.53.3Expected FP - 80
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 2.53.3Expected FP - 81
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.9Sleeper 3.3FantasyPros 4.63.2Expected FP - 82
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 3.33.2Expected FP - 83
Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 3.93.2Expected FP - 84
De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.9FantasyPros 4.73.2Expected FP - 85
Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 2.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.3Sleeper 2.4FantasyPros 3.32.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
