FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 18 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.4Sleeper 21.3FantasyPros 19.021.8Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 23.7FantasyPros 20.821.7Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.5Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.421.2Expected FP - 4
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.0Sleeper 18.0FantasyPros 19.121.1Expected FP - 5
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.3Sleeper 18.7FantasyPros 17.418.9Expected FP - 6
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.9Sleeper 16.4FantasyPros 17.718.8Expected FP - 7
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 15.4FantasyPros 14.518.4Expected FP - 8
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 16.0FantasyPros 15.417.4Expected FP - 9
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 16.617.3Expected FP - 10
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.1Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 14.916.5Expected FP - 11
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.1Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 15.516.1Expected FP - 12
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.0Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 15.416.0Expected FP - 13
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.1Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 15.816.0Expected FP - 14
Mike EvansWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 12.315.2Expected FP - 15
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.6Sleeper 16.4FantasyPros 14.115.1Expected FP - 16
George PickensWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 14.5FantasyPros 13.914.8Expected FP - 17
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 16.014.6Expected FP - 18
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 14.114.6Expected FP - 19
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 14.414.3Expected FP - 20
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 14.514.0Expected FP - 21
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 13.613.7Expected FP - 22
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 13.613.6Expected FP - 23
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 12.813.3Expected FP - 24
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 13.1FantasyPros 11.112.9Expected FP - 25
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 14.312.6Expected FP - 26
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 11.412.6Expected FP - 27
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 9.012.5Expected FP - 28
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 13.512.5Expected FP - 29
KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 11.111.9Expected FP - 30
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 10.411.8Expected FP - 31
Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 11.111.6Expected FP - 32
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 10.411.5Expected FP - 33
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 11.811.2Expected FP - 34
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 10.210.8Expected FP - 35
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 12.710.7Expected FP - 36
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.910.7Expected FP - 37
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 12.710.7Expected FP - 38
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 11.210.6Expected FP - 39
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 10.610.6Expected FP - 40
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 10.510.6Expected FP - 41
Josh DownsWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 11.510.5Expected FP - 42
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 11.310.4Expected FP - 43
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 9.410.3Expected FP - 44
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 7.410.2Expected FP - 45
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 10.110.1Expected FP - 46
Tank DellWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 11.110.1Expected FP - 47
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.310.1Expected FP - 48
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 10.610.1Expected FP - 49
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 10.110.0Expected FP - 50
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 10.29.7Expected FP - 51
DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 10.69.5Expected FP - 52
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 10.59.4Expected FP - 53
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 9.79.1Expected FP - 54
Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.4FantasyPros 9.19.1Expected FP - 55
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 10.69.0Expected FP - 56
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 7.39.0Expected FP - 57
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 10.88.9Expected FP - 58
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.78.9Expected FP - 59
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 7.08.7Expected FP - 60
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 6.88.5Expected FP - 61
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.58.0Expected FP - 62
Mack HollinsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 7.07.9Expected FP - 63
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.97.9Expected FP - 64
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 9.27.8Expected FP - 65
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 7.37.7Expected FP - 66
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.7FantasyPros 7.37.6Expected FP - 67
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 7.77.5Expected FP - 68
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 8.67.2Expected FP - 69
Chris BellWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 7.06.9Expected FP - 70
Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 6.66.6Expected FP - 71
Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 5.76.5Expected FP - 72
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 8.06.1Expected FP - 73
Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 6.46.0Expected FP - 74
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 6.55.9Expected FP - 75
De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 1.3FantasyPros 8.35.8Expected FP - 76
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 8.45.7Expected FP - 77
Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.3FantasyPros 5.55.6Expected FP - 78
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 4.55.3Expected FP - 79
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.25.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
