FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 18 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 26.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.9Sleeper 25.2FantasyPros 24.026.8Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 26.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 29.7Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.726.5Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 24.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.3Sleeper 22.0FantasyPros 21.324.6Expected FP - 4
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 22.3FantasyPros 20.021.6Expected FP - 5
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.2Sleeper 19.1FantasyPros 16.521.0Expected FP - 6
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 20.519.9Expected FP - 7
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.6Sleeper 17.2FantasyPros 18.219.8Expected FP - 8
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.1Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 19.518.1Expected FP - 9
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 13.117.7Expected FP - 10
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.3Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 14.617.1Expected FP - 11
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.8Sleeper 14.0FantasyPros 16.415.8Expected FP - 12
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 14.515.1Expected FP - 13
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 12.614.4Expected FP - 14
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 14.813.8Expected FP - 15
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 13.813.8Expected FP - 16
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 13.713.7Expected FP - 17
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 15.513.6Expected FP - 18
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.1Sleeper 16.0FantasyPros 13.313.5Expected FP - 19
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.0Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 12.313.5Expected FP - 20
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 12.413.1Expected FP - 21
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 13.012.8Expected FP - 22
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 12.312.6Expected FP - 23
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 10.611.3Expected FP - 24
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 12.011.3Expected FP - 25
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 10.611.1Expected FP - 26
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 8.910.5Expected FP - 27
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 10.910.2Expected FP - 28
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 9.310.0Expected FP - 29
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 7.39.8Expected FP - 30
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 10.19.7Expected FP - 31
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 9.39.6Expected FP - 32
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 7.58.9Expected FP - 33
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 9.28.8Expected FP - 34
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 9.08.7Expected FP - 35
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 9.18.7Expected FP - 36
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.08.4Expected FP - 37
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.58.1Expected FP - 38
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.7FantasyPros 6.18.1Expected FP - 39
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 9.68.0Expected FP - 40
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 6.68.0Expected FP - 41
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 9.77.9Expected FP - 42
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 8.87.9Expected FP - 43
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 6.17.8Expected FP - 44
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 5.97.2Expected FP - 45
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.87.2Expected FP - 46
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 9.56.8Expected FP - 47
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 6.96.8Expected FP - 48
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 6.96.8Expected FP - 49
Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 4.96.7Expected FP - 50
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.1FantasyPros 5.96.7Expected FP - 51
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 6.96.3Expected FP - 52
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 9.4FantasyPros 3.46.1Expected FP - 53
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 4.66.0Expected FP - 54
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 5.25.8Expected FP - 55
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 5.55.6Expected FP - 56
Corey KinerRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 6.05.2Expected FP - 57
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 4.75.2Expected FP - 58
Khalil HerbertRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 5.45.0Expected FP - 59
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 6.55.0Expected FP - 60
Austin EkelerRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 4.15.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
