FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 18 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 15.818.0Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 16.316.4Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 17.0FantasyPros 14.616.3Expected FP - 4
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 14.613.8Expected FP - 5
Travis KelceTE · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 11.813.4Expected FP - 6
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 13.012.6Expected FP - 7
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.3Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 9.111.1Expected FP - 8
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 8.011.0Expected FP - 9
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 10.810.8Expected FP - 10
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 11.210.5Expected FP - 11
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 10.19.8Expected FP - 12
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 9.39.8Expected FP - 13
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 10.49.7Expected FP - 14
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 10.49.6Expected FP - 15
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 8.99.4Expected FP - 16
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 10.49.3Expected FP - 17
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 7.89.2Expected FP - 18
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 8.69.0Expected FP - 19
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 8.48.9Expected FP - 20
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.68.7Expected FP - 21
Michael MayerTE · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 9.48.6Expected FP - 22
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 7.38.4Expected FP - 23
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 8.08.2Expected FP - 24
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 8.28.2Expected FP - 25
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 6.07.8Expected FP - 26
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 7.37.8Expected FP - 27
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 5.77.6Expected FP - 28
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.17.1Expected FP - 29
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.67.1Expected FP - 30
Cade OttonTE · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 5.76.4Expected FP - 31
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 6.36.3Expected FP - 32
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 5.86.2Expected FP - 33
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 3.85.7Expected FP - 34
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 4.55.5Expected FP - 35
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 4.45.5Expected FP - 36
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 6.15.3Expected FP - 37
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 7.15.3Expected FP - 38
David NjokuTE · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 4.0FantasyPros 5.15.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
