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Week 182026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 18 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
83 shown · common FP scale
0.020.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.3Expected FP
  2. 2
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  4. 4
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.5Expected FP
  5. 5
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  6. 6
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  7. 7
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  8. 8
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  9. 9
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  11. 11
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  12. 12
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  13. 13
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  15. 15
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  16. 16
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    George PickensWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  18. 18
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  21. 21
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  22. 22
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  23. 23
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  24. 24
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  26. 26
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  27. 27
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  30. 30
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  32. 32
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  33. 33
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  35. 35
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  36. 36
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  37. 37
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  38. 38
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  39. 39
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  40. 40
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  41. 41
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  42. 42
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  43. 43
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  44. 44
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  45. 45
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  46. 46
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  47. 47
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  49. 49
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  50. 50
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  51. 51
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  52. 52
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  53. 53
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  54. 54
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  55. 55
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  56. 56
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  57. 57
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  58. 58
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  59. 59
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  60. 60
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  61. 61
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  62. 62
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  63. 63
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  64. 64
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  65. 65
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  66. 66
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  67. 67
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  68. 68
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  69. 69
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  70. 70
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  71. 71
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  72. 72
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  73. 73
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  74. 74
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  75. 75
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  76. 76
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  77. 77
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  78. 78
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  79. 79
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  80. 80
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  81. 81
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  82. 82
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  83. 83
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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