FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 18 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 25.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 28.1Sleeper 21.5FantasyPros 20.325.0Expected FP - 2
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 24.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.8Sleeper 22.8FantasyPros 22.124.2Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 22.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.4FantasyPros 19.122.3Expected FP - 4
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.8Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 14.919.8Expected FP - 5
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.7Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 19.219.6Expected FP - 6
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 17.619.3Expected FP - 7
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.8Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 16.718.2Expected FP - 8
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.9Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 17.716.6Expected FP - 9
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 11.516.3Expected FP - 10
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 16.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.3Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 13.716.1Expected FP - 11
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 12.814.1Expected FP - 12
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.6Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 14.313.5Expected FP - 13
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 11.312.9Expected FP - 14
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 12.312.4Expected FP - 15
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 12.112.3Expected FP - 16
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 12.912.2Expected FP - 17
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.5Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 10.912.2Expected FP - 18
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 12.212.0Expected FP - 19
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 13.1FantasyPros 11.111.9Expected FP - 20
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 13.811.7Expected FP - 21
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 12.9FantasyPros 12.211.6Expected FP - 22
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 11.210.9Expected FP - 23
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 10.010.8Expected FP - 24
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 9.610.3Expected FP - 25
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 10.39.8Expected FP - 26
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 8.19.4Expected FP - 27
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 8.59.4Expected FP - 28
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 9.59.2Expected FP - 29
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.18.8Expected FP - 30
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 6.38.8Expected FP - 31
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 8.28.5Expected FP - 32
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 8.38.1Expected FP - 33
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.07.9Expected FP - 34
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 8.17.7Expected FP - 35
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 7.77.5Expected FP - 36
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 8.87.4Expected FP - 37
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 7.77.4Expected FP - 38
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 5.67.3Expected FP - 39
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 8.47.1Expected FP - 40
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.27.1Expected FP - 41
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.6FantasyPros 4.66.9Expected FP - 42
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 7.56.8Expected FP - 43
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 5.06.5Expected FP - 44
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.06.5Expected FP - 45
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 8.26.2Expected FP - 46
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 4.86.2Expected FP - 47
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 5.65.9Expected FP - 48
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.2FantasyPros 4.95.7Expected FP - 49
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.85.4Expected FP - 50
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 5.55.4Expected FP - 51
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.7FantasyPros 2.55.4Expected FP - 52
Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 3.85.3Expected FP - 53
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 3.95.2Expected FP - 54
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 4.74.9Expected FP - 55
Corey KinerRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 5.34.7Expected FP - 56
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 3.84.6Expected FP - 57
Khalil HerbertRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 5.04.5Expected FP - 58
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 5.34.4Expected FP - 59
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 3.94.3Expected FP - 60
Austin EkelerRB · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 3.24.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
