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Week 182026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

K · Week 18 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
31 shown · common FP scale
4.411.6
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  2. 2
    Tyler BassK · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  3. 3
    Cam LittleK · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  4. 4
    Brandon AubreyK · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    Chase McLaughlinK · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  6. 6
    Chris BoswellK · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  7. 7
    Dominic ZvadaK · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  8. 8
    Drew StevensK · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  9. 9
    Matt GayK · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  10. 10
    Cairo SantosK · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  11. 11
    Wil LutzK · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jason SandersK · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  13. 13
    Will ReichardK · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  14. 14
    Cameron DickerK · LAC vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  15. 15
    Evan McPhersonK · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  16. 16
    Spencer ShraderK · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  17. 17
    Charlie SmythK · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  18. 18
    Tyler LoopK · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  19. 19
    Chad RylandK · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  20. 20
    Andre SzmytK · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  21. 21
    Jason MyersK · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    Trey SmackK · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Harrison ButkerK · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    Eddy PineiroK · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  25. 25
    Jake BatesK · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  26. 26
    Andy BorregalesK · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  27. 27
    Nick FolkK · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    Ryan FitzgeraldK · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  29. 29
    Joey SlyeK · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Brandon McManusK · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jake ElliottK · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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