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Week 172026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 17 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
0.029.1
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    24.0Expected FP
  3. 3
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  5. 5
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    20.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.4Expected FP
  7. 7
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.4Expected FP
  8. 8
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  9. 9
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.4Expected FP
  10. 10
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.4Expected FP
  11. 11
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.1Expected FP
  13. 13
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  15. 15
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  16. 16
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  18. 18
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  21. 21
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  22. 22
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  23. 23
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  24. 24
    Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  26. 26
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  27. 27
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  30. 30
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  31. 31
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  32. 32
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  33. 33
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  34. 34
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  35. 35
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  36. 36
    Fernando MendozaQB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  37. 37
    Brock BowersTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  38. 38
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  39. 39
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  40. 40
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  41. 41
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  42. 42
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  43. 43
    Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  44. 44
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  45. 45
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  46. 46
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  47. 47
    Cam WardQB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  48. 48
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  49. 49
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  50. 50
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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