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Week 172026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 17 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
58 shown · common FP scale
0.323.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.4Expected FP
  2. 2
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.5Expected FP
  6. 6
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  7. 7
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  8. 8
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  10. 10
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  11. 11
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  13. 13
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  15. 15
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  16. 16
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  17. 17
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  18. 18
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  19. 19
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  20. 20
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  21. 21
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  24. 24
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  26. 26
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  27. 27
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  28. 28
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  29. 29
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  32. 32
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  34. 34
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  35. 35
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  36. 36
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  37. 37
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  38. 38
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  39. 39
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  40. 40
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  41. 41
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  42. 42
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  43. 43
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  44. 44
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  46. 46
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  48. 48
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  49. 49
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  50. 50
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  51. 51
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  52. 52
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  53. 53
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  54. 54
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  55. 55
    Khalil HerbertRB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  56. 56
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  57. 57
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  58. 58
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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