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Week 172026 · Half-PPR

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 17 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
89 shown · common FP scale
0.020.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.4Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.2Expected FP
  3. 3
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.1Expected FP
  4. 4
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  5. 5
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  6. 6
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  7. 7
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  8. 8
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  9. 9
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  13. 13
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  15. 15
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  16. 16
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  18. 18
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  20. 20
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  21. 21
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  23. 23
    George PickensWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  25. 25
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  27. 27
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  29. 29
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  32. 32
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  33. 33
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  36. 36
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  37. 37
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  38. 38
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  39. 39
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  40. 40
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  41. 41
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  42. 42
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  43. 43
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  44. 44
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  46. 46
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  47. 47
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  48. 48
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  49. 49
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  50. 50
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  51. 51
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  52. 52
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  53. 53
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  54. 54
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  55. 55
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  56. 56
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  57. 57
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  58. 58
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  59. 59
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  60. 60
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  61. 61
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  62. 62
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  63. 63
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  64. 64
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  65. 65
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  66. 66
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  67. 67
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  68. 68
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  69. 69
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  70. 70
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  71. 71
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  72. 72
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  73. 73
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  74. 74
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  75. 75
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  76. 76
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  77. 77
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  78. 78
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  79. 79
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  80. 80
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  81. 81
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  82. 82
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  83. 83
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  84. 84
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  85. 85
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  86. 86
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  87. 87
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  88. 88
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  89. 89
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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