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Week 172026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

K · Week 17 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
31 shown · common FP scale
4.811.1
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Tyler BassK · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  2. 2
    Chris BoswellK · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    Dominic ZvadaK · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  4. 4
    Andre SzmytK · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  5. 5
    Cam LittleK · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  6. 6
    Will ReichardK · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  7. 7
    Cameron DickerK · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  8. 8
    Spencer ShraderK · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Brandon AubreyK · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  10. 10
    Matt GayK · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  11. 11
    Chase McLaughlinK · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  13. 13
    Evan McPhersonK · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jason SandersK · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  15. 15
    Trey SmackK · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  16. 16
    Charlie SmythK · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  17. 17
    Wil LutzK · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  18. 18
    Chad RylandK · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jason MyersK · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  20. 20
    Cairo SantosK · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  21. 21
    Joey SlyeK · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    Eddy PineiroK · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Drew StevensK · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Nick FolkK · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Harrison ButkerK · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  26. 26
    Jake BatesK · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  27. 27
    Andy BorregalesK · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    Tyler LoopK · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  29. 29
    Brandon McManusK · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jake ElliottK · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  31. 31
    Ryan FitzgeraldK · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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