FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 17 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 13.215.5Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 11.414.4Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 12.212.0Expected FP - 4
George KittleTE · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 8.911.4Expected FP - 5
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 8.310.2Expected FP - 6
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 8.810.0Expected FP - 7
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 10.19.6Expected FP - 8
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 12.29.4Expected FP - 9
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 8.09.3Expected FP - 10
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 8.98.5Expected FP - 11
Travis KelceTE · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 6.68.4Expected FP - 12
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 7.68.1Expected FP - 13
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 8.38.0Expected FP - 14
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 6.87.8Expected FP - 15
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.27.7Expected FP - 16
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.27.5Expected FP - 17
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 6.87.5Expected FP - 18
Michael MayerTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 8.07.2Expected FP - 19
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 5.66.8Expected FP - 20
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 5.56.8Expected FP - 21
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 5.36.5Expected FP - 22
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.66.5Expected FP - 23
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.86.5Expected FP - 24
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 4.66.4Expected FP - 25
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 8.36.2Expected FP - 26
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 6.06.2Expected FP - 27
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 7.15.7Expected FP - 28
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 5.15.7Expected FP - 29
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 3.95.3Expected FP - 30
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 4.25.2Expected FP - 31
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 7.85.0Expected FP - 32
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 3.74.9Expected FP - 33
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 6.14.7Expected FP - 34
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 5.44.6Expected FP - 35
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 3.6FantasyPros 4.74.5Expected FP - 36
Nate BoerkircherTE · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.9Sleeper 1.4FantasyPros 4.04.3Expected FP - 37
Cade OttonTE · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 3.94.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
