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Week 162026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 16 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
0.026.5
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    26.5Expected FP
  2. 2
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.2Expected FP
  3. 3
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.9Expected FP
  4. 4
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  7. 7
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.6Expected FP
  8. 8
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.4Expected FP
  9. 9
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.5Expected FP
  10. 10
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.4Expected FP
  11. 11
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.9Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.9Expected FP
  13. 13
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  14. 14
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.7Expected FP
  15. 15
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.3Expected FP
  17. 17
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.7Expected FP
  18. 18
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  19. 19
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.9Expected FP
  23. 23
    Cam WardQB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  25. 25
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  27. 27
    Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  28. 28
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  29. 29
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  30. 30
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.5Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.3Expected FP
  32. 32
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Justin HerbertQB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  34. 34
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  35. 35
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  36. 36
    Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  39. 39
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  40. 40
    Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  41. 41
    Fernando MendozaQB · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  42. 42
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  43. 43
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  44. 44
    Brock BowersTE · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  45. 45
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  46. 46
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  47. 47
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  48. 48
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  49. 49
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  50. 50
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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