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Week 162026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 16 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
59 shown · common FP scale
0.321.9
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.4Expected FP
  2. 2
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  4. 4
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  5. 5
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.9Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  7. 7
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  8. 8
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  9. 9
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  11. 11
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  12. 12
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  15. 15
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  17. 17
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  19. 19
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  21. 21
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  22. 22
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  23. 23
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  24. 24
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  26. 26
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  31. 31
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  32. 32
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  33. 33
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  34. 34
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  35. 35
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  36. 36
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  38. 38
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  39. 39
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  40. 40
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  41. 41
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  42. 42
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  43. 43
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  44. 44
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  45. 45
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  46. 46
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  47. 47
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  49. 49
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  50. 50
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  51. 51
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  52. 52
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  53. 53
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  54. 54
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  55. 55
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  56. 56
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  57. 57
    Corey KinerRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  58. 58
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  59. 59
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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