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Week 152026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 15 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
83 shown · common FP scale
0.017.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  3. 3
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  6. 6
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  7. 7
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  8. 8
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  9. 9
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  10. 10
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  11. 11
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  13. 13
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  15. 15
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  16. 16
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  18. 18
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    George PickensWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  21. 21
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  22. 22
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  23. 23
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  24. 24
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  26. 26
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  27. 27
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  28. 28
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  30. 30
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  31. 31
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  32. 32
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  33. 33
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  34. 34
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  35. 35
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  36. 36
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  39. 39
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  40. 40
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  41. 41
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  42. 42
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  43. 43
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  44. 44
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  45. 45
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  46. 46
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  47. 47
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  48. 48
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  49. 49
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  50. 50
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  51. 51
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  52. 52
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  53. 53
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  54. 54
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  55. 55
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  56. 56
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  57. 57
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  58. 58
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  59. 59
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  60. 60
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  61. 61
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  62. 62
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  63. 63
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  64. 64
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  65. 65
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  66. 66
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  67. 67
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  68. 68
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  69. 69
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  70. 70
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  71. 71
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  72. 72
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  73. 73
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  74. 74
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  75. 75
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  76. 76
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  77. 77
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  78. 78
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  79. 79
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  80. 80
    Laquon TreadwellWR · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.0Expected FP
  81. 81
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.0Expected FP
  82. 82
    Chimere DikeWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  83. 83
    Travis HunterWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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