FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 15 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 9.412.2Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 8.110.0Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 6.69.0Expected FP - 4
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.08.3Expected FP - 5
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 7.37.8Expected FP - 6
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.57.3Expected FP - 7
Travis KelceTE · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 5.57.1Expected FP - 8
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 8.67.0Expected FP - 9
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.56.9Expected FP - 10
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 4.86.8Expected FP - 11
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 5.16.5Expected FP - 12
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 5.96.2Expected FP - 13
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 4.95.9Expected FP - 14
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 6.75.9Expected FP - 15
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.05.7Expected FP - 16
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 6.15.6Expected FP - 17
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 3.65.3Expected FP - 18
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 2.95.3Expected FP - 19
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 5.65.2Expected FP - 20
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 4.15.1Expected FP - 21
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 5.05.0Expected FP - 22
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 4.94.9Expected FP - 23
Michael MayerTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 5.14.7Expected FP - 24
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 2.64.7Expected FP - 25
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 4.74.7Expected FP - 26
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 3.94.4Expected FP - 27
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 4.04.2Expected FP - 28
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 3.14.2Expected FP - 29
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.4Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 6.13.9Expected FP - 30
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.0Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.33.8Expected FP - 31
Cade OttonTE · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 2.83.8Expected FP - 32
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.8Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 4.13.7Expected FP - 33
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 2.23.6Expected FP - 34
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.9Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 3.73.5Expected FP - 35
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 2.63.5Expected FP - 36
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 3.03.4Expected FP - 37
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.8Sleeper 4.33.1Expected FP - 38
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.7Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 2.43.1Expected FP - 39
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.4Sleeper 2.7FantasyPros 2.63.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
