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Week 152026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

K · Week 15 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
31 shown · common FP scale
2.811.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Spencer ShraderK · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    Brandon AubreyK · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  4. 4
    Chase McLaughlinK · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  5. 5
    Chris BoswellK · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  6. 6
    Cameron DickerK · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  7. 7
    Cam LittleK · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  8. 8
    Tyler BassK · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  9. 9
    Jason SandersK · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  10. 10
    Drew StevensK · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  11. 11
    Will ReichardK · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Dominic ZvadaK · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  13. 13
    Jake BatesK · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Cairo SantosK · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  15. 15
    Wil LutzK · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jason MyersK · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  17. 17
    Evan McPhersonK · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  18. 18
    Tyler LoopK · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Joey SlyeK · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  20. 20
    Trey SmackK · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  21. 21
    Chad RylandK · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    Matt GayK · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Andy BorregalesK · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    Eddy PineiroK · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  25. 25
    Harrison ButkerK · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  26. 26
    Andre SzmytK · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  27. 27
    Nick FolkK · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  28. 28
    Brandon McManusK · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  29. 29
    Charlie SmythK · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  30. 30
    Ryan FitzgeraldK · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jake ElliottK · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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