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Week 152026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 15 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
59 shown · common FP scale
0.021.5
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.8Expected FP
  2. 2
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.7Expected FP
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  8. 8
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  10. 10
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  13. 13
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  15. 15
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  17. 17
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  18. 18
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  20. 20
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  21. 21
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  23. 23
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  25. 25
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  27. 27
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  32. 32
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  33. 33
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  34. 34
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  35. 35
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  37. 37
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  38. 38
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  39. 39
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  40. 40
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  41. 41
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  42. 42
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  43. 43
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  44. 44
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  46. 46
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  49. 49
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  50. 50
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  51. 51
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  52. 52
    Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  53. 53
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  54. 54
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  55. 55
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  56. 56
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  57. 57
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  58. 58
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.6Expected FP
  59. 59
    MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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