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Week 152026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 15 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
88 shown · common FP scale
0.020.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.9Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  7. 7
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  8. 8
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  9. 9
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  10. 10
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  11. 11
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  12. 12
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  13. 13
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  15. 15
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  16. 16
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  18. 18
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  19. 19
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  20. 20
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  21. 21
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  22. 22
    George PickensWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  23. 23
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  24. 24
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  25. 25
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  26. 26
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  27. 27
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  28. 28
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  29. 29
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  30. 30
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  31. 31
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  32. 32
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  33. 33
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  36. 36
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  37. 37
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  38. 38
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  39. 39
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  40. 40
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  41. 41
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  43. 43
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  44. 44
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  45. 45
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  46. 46
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  47. 47
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  49. 49
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  50. 50
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  51. 51
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  52. 52
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  53. 53
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  54. 54
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  55. 55
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  56. 56
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  57. 57
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  58. 58
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  59. 59
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  60. 60
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  61. 61
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  62. 62
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  63. 63
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  64. 64
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  65. 65
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  66. 66
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  67. 67
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  68. 68
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  69. 69
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  70. 70
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  71. 71
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  72. 72
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  73. 73
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  74. 74
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  75. 75
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  76. 76
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  77. 77
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  78. 78
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  79. 79
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  80. 80
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  81. 81
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  82. 82
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  83. 83
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  84. 84
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  85. 85
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  86. 86
    Tutu AtwellWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  87. 87
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  88. 88
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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