FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 15 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.9Sleeper 21.9FantasyPros 19.519.9Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.3Sleeper 19.6FantasyPros 16.819.7Expected FP - 3
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.8Sleeper 17.7FantasyPros 14.919.5Expected FP - 4
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 18.818.9Expected FP - 5
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.7Sleeper 13.1FantasyPros 13.118.5Expected FP - 6
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.6Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 14.017.8Expected FP - 7
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 16.417.6Expected FP - 8
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 17.0FantasyPros 15.917.4Expected FP - 9
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.4Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 15.016.7Expected FP - 10
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 13.615.4Expected FP - 11
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 15.715.2Expected FP - 12
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.2Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 14.515.1Expected FP - 13
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 14.514.9Expected FP - 14
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 12.114.1Expected FP - 15
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 12.814.1Expected FP - 16
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 14.2FantasyPros 15.213.9Expected FP - 17
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 13.713.1Expected FP - 18
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.3Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 13.712.3Expected FP - 19
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 10.611.9Expected FP - 20
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 12.211.6Expected FP - 21
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 12.411.3Expected FP - 22
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 11.610.9Expected FP - 23
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.710.9Expected FP - 24
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 11.110.8Expected FP - 25
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 9.210.4Expected FP - 26
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 8.89.7Expected FP - 27
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 11.39.3Expected FP - 28
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 8.89.2Expected FP - 29
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.59.2Expected FP - 30
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.48.7Expected FP - 31
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 8.28.4Expected FP - 32
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.9FantasyPros 6.28.4Expected FP - 33
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 7.98.1Expected FP - 34
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.07.8Expected FP - 35
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 9.57.7Expected FP - 36
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 8.47.6Expected FP - 37
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 7.77.1Expected FP - 38
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 6.67.0Expected FP - 39
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 5.77.0Expected FP - 40
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 8.16.8Expected FP - 41
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 5.76.4Expected FP - 42
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 6.76.4Expected FP - 43
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.8FantasyPros 5.56.4Expected FP - 44
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 5.66.3Expected FP - 45
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 5.46.3Expected FP - 46
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 6.26.3Expected FP - 47
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 4.96.2Expected FP - 48
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 7.26.0Expected FP - 49
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.8FantasyPros 5.15.7Expected FP - 50
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 9.2FantasyPros 2.85.7Expected FP - 51
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 4.85.5Expected FP - 52
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 4.35.4Expected FP - 53
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.55.4Expected FP - 54
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 6.05.3Expected FP - 55
Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 3.85.1Expected FP - 56
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 5.34.8Expected FP - 57
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 4.84.6Expected FP - 58
Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 4.54.6Expected FP - 59
MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 4.64.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
