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Week 132026 · Half-PPR

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TE · Week 13 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
32 shown · common FP scale
3.212.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  3. 3
    Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  4. 4
    Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  5. 5
    Tucker KraftTE · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  8. 8
    Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  9. 9
    Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  10. 10
    Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  11. 11
    Travis KelceTE · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  12. 12
    Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  14. 14
    Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  15. 15
    Hunter HenryTE · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  16. 16
    Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  17. 17
    Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  18. 18
    AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  19. 19
    Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  20. 20
    Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  21. 21
    Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  23. 23
    Darren WallerTE · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  25. 25
    Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  26. 26
    Eli RaridonTE · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  27. 27
    Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  28. 28
    Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Evan EngramTE · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Cade OttonTE · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  31. 31
    Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  32. 32
    Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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