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Week 132026 · Half-PPR

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RB · Week 13 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
51 shown · common FP scale
0.023.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.8Expected FP
  2. 2
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.2Expected FP
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.1Expected FP
  4. 4
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.7Expected FP
  5. 5
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.7Expected FP
  7. 7
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  8. 8
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  9. 9
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  10. 10
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.3Expected FP
  11. 11
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  15. 15
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  16. 16
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  17. 17
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  18. 18
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  19. 19
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  21. 21
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  23. 23
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  24. 24
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  28. 28
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  29. 29
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  30. 30
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  32. 32
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  33. 33
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  34. 34
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  35. 35
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  36. 36
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  39. 39
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  40. 40
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  41. 41
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  42. 42
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  43. 43
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  44. 44
    Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  46. 46
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  48. 48
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  49. 49
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  50. 50
    MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  51. 51
    Corey KinerRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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