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Week 132026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 13 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
78 shown · common FP scale
0.022.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  6. 6
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  7. 7
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  8. 8
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  10. 10
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  11. 11
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  13. 13
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  14. 14
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  15. 15
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  17. 17
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  18. 18
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  19. 19
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  20. 20
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  22. 22
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  23. 23
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  24. 24
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  25. 25
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  26. 26
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  29. 29
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  30. 30
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  31. 31
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  32. 32
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  34. 34
    George PickensWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  37. 37
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  38. 38
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  39. 39
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  40. 40
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  41. 41
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  43. 43
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  44. 44
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  46. 46
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  48. 48
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  49. 49
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  50. 50
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  51. 51
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  52. 52
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  53. 53
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  54. 54
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  55. 55
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  56. 56
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  57. 57
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  58. 58
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  59. 59
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  60. 60
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  61. 61
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  62. 62
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  63. 63
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  64. 64
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  65. 65
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  66. 66
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  67. 67
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  68. 68
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  69. 69
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  70. 70
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  71. 71
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  72. 72
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  73. 73
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  74. 74
    Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  75. 75
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  76. 76
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  77. 77
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
  78. 78
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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