FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
FLEX · Week 13 · Half-PPR · RB / WR / TE
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.123.8Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.720.2Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 16.318.6Expected FP - 4
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 18.318.1Expected FP - 5
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 16.717.7Expected FP - 6
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.9Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 13.417.6Expected FP - 7
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.8Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.517.4Expected FP - 8
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 16.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 16.916.8Expected FP - 9
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.6Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 14.416.6Expected FP - 10
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.5Sleeper 17.4FantasyPros 14.316.3Expected FP - 11
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 12.115.2Expected FP - 12
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.6Sleeper 15.4FantasyPros 14.115.1Expected FP - 13
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 13.815.1Expected FP - 14
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.214.6Expected FP - 15
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 12.614.4Expected FP - 16
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 13.414.4Expected FP - 17
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.4Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 13.014.3Expected FP - 18
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 13.514.2Expected FP - 19
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 13.913.7Expected FP - 20
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 13.713.5Expected FP - 21
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 12.913.5Expected FP - 22
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.5Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 11.313.5Expected FP - 23
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 11.913.3Expected FP - 24
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 14.313.3Expected FP - 25
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 12.813.1Expected FP - 26
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 13.512.9Expected FP - 27
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 12.712.8Expected FP - 28
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 11.812.6Expected FP - 29
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 12.412.2Expected FP - 30
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 11.412.2Expected FP - 31
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.712.2Expected FP - 32
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 11.612.1Expected FP - 33
Cam SkatteboRB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 11.212.0Expected FP - 34
George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 9.312.0Expected FP - 35
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 11.311.5Expected FP - 36
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.2Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 9.211.4Expected FP - 37
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 10.611.4Expected FP - 38
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 12.211.3Expected FP - 39
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 10.311.3Expected FP - 40
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 11.611.2Expected FP - 41
Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 11.211.1Expected FP - 42
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.211.0Expected FP - 43
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 9.610.7Expected FP - 44
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.2Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 9.610.6Expected FP - 45
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 11.610.5Expected FP - 46
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.210.1Expected FP - 47
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 9.810.0Expected FP - 48
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 10.59.9Expected FP - 49
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 7.89.9Expected FP - 50
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 10.09.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
