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Week 122026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 12 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
25 shown · common FP scale
13.025.0
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.0Expected FP
  2. 2
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  5. 5
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  6. 6
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.7Expected FP
  7. 7
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.6Expected FP
  8. 8
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.2Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    18.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  13. 13
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.2Expected FP
  14. 14
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    18.1Expected FP
  15. 15
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  16. 16
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  20. 20
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  21. 21
    Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.9Expected FP
  22. 22
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  23. 23
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  24. 24
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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