FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 12 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 8.311.5Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 10.211.1Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 9.49.3Expected FP - 4
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.38.3Expected FP - 5
George KittleTE · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 6.78.1Expected FP - 6
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 6.88.0Expected FP - 7
Travis KelceTE · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 4.76.9Expected FP - 8
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 7.46.7Expected FP - 9
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 6.66.7Expected FP - 10
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 4.56.4Expected FP - 11
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 8.06.1Expected FP - 12
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 5.76.0Expected FP - 13
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 6.36.0Expected FP - 14
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 5.96.0Expected FP - 15
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 5.65.8Expected FP - 16
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 3.8FantasyPros 4.65.8Expected FP - 17
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 4.65.8Expected FP - 18
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 4.55.6Expected FP - 19
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 5.15.5Expected FP - 20
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 5.15.4Expected FP - 21
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 4.85.3Expected FP - 22
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 3.34.9Expected FP - 23
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.74.7Expected FP - 24
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 4.94.7Expected FP - 25
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 3.04.5Expected FP - 26
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 3.54.3Expected FP - 27
Michael MayerTE · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 3.54.0Expected FP - 28
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 2.34.0Expected FP - 29
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.3Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 5.73.8Expected FP - 30
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 4.03.7Expected FP - 31
Cade OttonTE · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 3.6FantasyPros 3.53.6Expected FP - 32
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 3.03.5Expected FP - 33
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.4Sleeper 4.73.3Expected FP - 34
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.0Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 1.83.2Expected FP - 35
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.33.2Expected FP - 36
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.5Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 3.13.0Expected FP - 37
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.1Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 2.93.0Expected FP - 38
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 2.6FantasyPros 2.22.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
