FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
K · Week 12 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
K. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Tyler BassK · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 9.410.5Expected FP - 2
Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.810.2Expected FP - 3
Brandon AubreyK · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.310.0Expected FP - 4
Dominic ZvadaK · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 8.79.6Expected FP - 5
Cam LittleK · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.69.5Expected FP - 6
Will ReichardK · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.49.4Expected FP - 7
Evan McPhersonK · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.98.9Expected FP - 8
Chase McLaughlinK · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.88.9Expected FP - 9
Wil LutzK · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 8.08.8Expected FP - 10
Drew StevensK · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.68.7Expected FP - 11
Cameron DickerK · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 7.38.6Expected FP - 12
Chris BoswellK · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 8.08.5Expected FP - 13
Jason MyersK · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 7.98.4Expected FP - 14
Jason SandersK · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.28.4Expected FP - 15
Spencer ShraderK · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 7.88.4Expected FP - 16
Trey SmackK · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.38.2Expected FP - 17
Cairo SantosK · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 8.68.1Expected FP - 18
Andre SzmytK · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.18.1Expected FP - 19
Matt GayK · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 7.78.0Expected FP - 20
Jake BatesK · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 7.27.8Expected FP - 21
Chad RylandK · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 7.37.7Expected FP - 22
Andy BorregalesK · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 8.67.6Expected FP - 23
Harrison ButkerK · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 7.07.3Expected FP - 24
Ryan FitzgeraldK · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.37.1Expected FP - 25
Eddy PineiroK · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.47.0Expected FP - 26
Nick FolkK · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.96.8Expected FP - 27
Charlie SmythK · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 2.56.5Expected FP - 28
Jake ElliottK · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 7.86.4Expected FP - 29
Joey SlyeK · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.46.1Expected FP - 30
Brandon McManusK · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 4.25.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
