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Week 122026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 12 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
89 shown · common FP scale
0.020.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.5Expected FP
  2. 2
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.4Expected FP
  3. 3
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  4. 4
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  7. 7
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  8. 8
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  9. 9
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  11. 11
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  15. 15
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  17. 17
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.8Expected FP
  19. 19
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  20. 20
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    George PickensWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  22. 22
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  25. 25
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  26. 26
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  27. 27
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  29. 29
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  30. 30
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  32. 32
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  33. 33
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  34. 34
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  36. 36
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  37. 37
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  38. 38
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  39. 39
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  40. 40
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  41. 41
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  42. 42
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  43. 43
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  44. 44
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  45. 45
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  46. 46
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  47. 47
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  48. 48
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  49. 49
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  50. 50
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  51. 51
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  52. 52
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  53. 53
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  54. 54
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  55. 55
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  56. 56
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  57. 57
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  58. 58
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  59. 59
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  60. 60
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  61. 61
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  62. 62
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  63. 63
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  64. 64
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  65. 65
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  66. 66
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  67. 67
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  68. 68
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  69. 69
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  70. 70
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  71. 71
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  72. 72
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  73. 73
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  74. 74
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  75. 75
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  76. 76
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  77. 77
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  78. 78
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  79. 79
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.7Expected FP
  80. 80
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  81. 81
    Efton Chism IIIWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  82. 82
    Travis HunterWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  83. 83
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  84. 84
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  85. 85
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  86. 86
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  87. 87
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  88. 88
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
  89. 89
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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