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Week 122026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 12 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
55 shown · common FP scale
0.424.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.0Expected FP
  2. 2
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.3Expected FP
  4. 4
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  8. 8
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  9. 9
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  11. 11
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  13. 13
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  14. 14
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  15. 15
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  18. 18
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  19. 19
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  21. 21
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  23. 23
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  24. 24
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  25. 25
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  26. 26
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  27. 27
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  31. 31
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  32. 32
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  33. 33
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  34. 34
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  35. 35
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  36. 36
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  38. 38
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  39. 39
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  40. 40
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
  41. 41
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  42. 42
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  43. 43
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  44. 44
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  45. 45
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  46. 46
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  47. 47
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  48. 48
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  49. 49
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  50. 50
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  51. 51
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  52. 52
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  53. 53
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  54. 54
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.4Expected FP
  55. 55
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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