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Week 112026 ยท Half-PPR

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Should I start Omarion Hampton or Pat Freiermuth? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Omarion Hampton

+2.8 projected edge ยท Half-PPR

Start Omarion Hampton over Pat Freiermuth for Week 11 Half-PPR: 8.9 projected points versus 6.1.

  • Omarion Hampton: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
  • Omarion Hampton: 3.75% matchup lift against NYJ.

Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

Omarion Hampton
Why this pick?

Omarion Hampton

FF projection
8.9 FP Evenvs ESPN
ESPN
8.9 FP
Sleeper
8.1 FP
FantasyPros
10.8 FP
Boosted Trees
7.8 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Omarion Hampton faces NYJ in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Pat Freiermuth

FF projection
6.1 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN
6.6 FP
Sleeper
6.8 FP
FantasyPros
4.7 FP
Boosted Trees
8.1 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Pat Freiermuth faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 6.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Omarion Hampton projects for 8.9 points in half-PPR scoring, 2.8 more than Pat Freiermuth. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 13, 2026, 4:14 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Omarion Hampton and Pat Freiermuth?

Omarion Hampton holds a 2.8 FP projected edge over Pat Freiermuth. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Omarion Hampton, while Boosted Trees leans toward Pat Freiermuth. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 8.9 FP forecast in Half-PPR against NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 4.1 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth has a 6.1 FP forecast in Half-PPR at PHI. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.8 FP, putting this forecast 0.7 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side
SourceOmarion HamptonPat FreiermuthProjected edge
ESPN8.9 FP6.6 FPOmarion Hampton +2.3
Sleeper8.1 FP6.8 FPOmarion Hampton +1.4
FantasyPros10.8 FP4.7 FPOmarion Hampton +6.2
Boosted Trees7.8 FP8.1 FPPat Freiermuth +0.3

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Pat Freiermuth: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your leagueโ€™s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan โ†—.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
17.625.7
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full FLEX rankings โ†—

YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK

More decisions involving your players

Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

Flex ยท Week 11
Mike Gesicki9.0projected FP
Omarion Hampton8.9projected FP
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Aaron Jones Sr.7.2projected FP
Pat Freiermuth6.1projected FP
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