Should I start Omarion Hampton or Pat Freiermuth? (Standard Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Omarion Hampton

+3.2 projected edge · Standard

Start Omarion Hampton over Pat Freiermuth for Week 11 Standard: 8.0 projected points versus 4.8.

Omarion Hampton: 4.3 FP recent scoring average.
Omarion Hampton: 3.75% matchup lift against NYJ.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 2026, 4:04 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Omarion Hampton

RB · LACStats & schedule

8.0FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

vs NYJ

Sun 4:05 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PITStats & schedule

4.8FF projected

↓ -0.5 vs ESPN

at PHI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Omarion Hampton

FF projection: 8.0 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 9.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Omarion Hampton faces NYJ in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 4.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Pat Freiermuth

FF projection: 4.8 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.3 FP
Sleeper: 5.4 FP
FantasyPros: 3.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Pat Freiermuth faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 5.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Omarion Hampton projects for 8.0 points in standard scoring, 3.2 more than Pat Freiermuth. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 13, 2026, 4:04 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Omarion Hampton and Pat Freiermuth?

Omarion Hampton holds a 3.2 FP projected edge over Pat Freiermuth. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 8.0 FP forecast in Standard against NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.3 FP, putting this forecast 3.6 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth has a 4.8 FP forecast in Standard at PHI. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.8 FP, putting this forecast 1.0 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Omarion Hampton	Pat Freiermuth	Projected edge
ESPN	8.3 FP	5.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +3.0
Sleeper	7.4 FP	5.4 FP	Omarion Hampton +2.0
FantasyPros	9.4 FP	3.1 FP	Omarion Hampton +6.3
Boosted Trees	7.1 FP	5.9 FP	Omarion Hampton +1.2

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Pat Freiermuth: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

11.824.2

FF MEAN

1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.2Sleeper 19.3FantasyPros 18.4
21.0Expected FP
2
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.0Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 16.6
18.2Expected FP
3
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 17.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 13.6
17.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

More decisions involving your players

Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

Flex · Week 11