Should I start Omarion Hampton or Pat Freiermuth? (PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Omarion Hampton

+2.4 projected edge · PPR

Start Omarion Hampton over Pat Freiermuth for Week 11 PPR: 9.7 projected points versus 7.3.

Omarion Hampton: 5.3 FP recent scoring average.
Pat Freiermuth: 7.8 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 2026, 4:02 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Omarion Hampton

RB · LACStats & schedule

9.7FF projected

↑ +0.1 vs ESPN

vs NYJ

Sun 4:05 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PITStats & schedule

7.3FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

at PHI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Omarion Hampton

FF projection: 9.7 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.6 FP
Sleeper: 8.9 FP
FantasyPros: 12.3 FP

Omarion Hampton faces NYJ in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points.

Pat Freiermuth

FF projection: 7.3 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.9 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.3 FP

Pat Freiermuth faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 7.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Omarion Hampton projects for 9.7 points in PPR scoring, 2.4 more than Pat Freiermuth. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 13, 2026, 4:02 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Omarion Hampton and Pat Freiermuth?

Omarion Hampton holds a 2.4 FP projected edge over Pat Freiermuth. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 9.7 FP forecast in PPR against NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.3 FP, putting this forecast 4.4 points above that average.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth has a 7.3 FP forecast in PPR at PHI. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.8 FP, putting this forecast 0.5 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Omarion Hampton	Pat Freiermuth	Projected edge
ESPN	9.6 FP	7.9 FP	Omarion Hampton +1.7
Sleeper	8.9 FP	8.1 FP	Omarion Hampton +0.8
FantasyPros	12.3 FP	6.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +6.0

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Pat Freiermuth: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

20.127.3

FF MEAN

1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 24.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 22.2Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 21.5
24.6Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 27.3Sleeper 22.8FantasyPros 21.1
23.9Expected FP
3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.6Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 20.1
23.0Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 11