Should I start Omarion Hampton or Tyler Allgeier? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Omarion Hampton

Week 11 · Half-PPR

Omarion Hampton has the higher current FF forecast: 8.9 FP versus 8.8 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Omarion Hampton: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
Omarion Hampton: 3.75% matchup lift against NYJ.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Omarion Hampton

RB · LACStats & schedule

8.9FF projected

= 0.0 vs ESPN

vs NYJ

Sun 4:05 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARIStats & schedule

8.8FF projected

↑ +1.4 vs ESPN

at KC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Omarion Hampton and Tyler Allgeier?

Omarion Hampton and Tyler Allgeier are separated by 0.1 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 8.9 FP forecast in Half-PPR against NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 4.1 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier has a 8.8 FP forecast in Half-PPR at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 15.2 FP, putting this forecast 6.4 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Omarion Hampton	Tyler Allgeier	Projected edge
ESPN	8.9 FP	7.4 FP	Omarion Hampton +1.5
Sleeper	8.1 FP	7.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +0.8
FantasyPros	10.8 FP	7.5 FP	Omarion Hampton +3.3
Boosted Trees	7.8 FP	4.9 FP	Omarion Hampton +2.8

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Tyler Allgeier: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

17.625.7

FF MEAN

1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 22.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 25.7Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 19.7
22.6Expected FP
2
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.8Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 17.8
19.0Expected FP
3
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.9Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 18.9
18.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 11