
Should I start Gunnar Helm or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Gunnar Helm. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 4.8 versus 1.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

3.0FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Noah Gray
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ3.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
Gunnar Helm
FF3.0 FP
Boosted Trees3.6 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.7 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Gunnar Helm
Fortified3.0
ESPN3.3
Sleeper3.9
FantasyProsโ
Gunnar Helm faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.0
Sleeper3.2
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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