
Should I start Gunnar Helm or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท PPR
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Gunnar Helm. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 6.0 versus 1.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

3.9FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Noah Gray
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ4.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
Gunnar Helm
FF3.9 FP
Boosted Trees4.6 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF4.0 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload5.9 FP
Monte Carlo5.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Gunnar Helm
Fortified3.9
ESPN4.1
Sleeper5.1
FantasyProsโ
Gunnar Helm faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified4.0
ESPN4.0
Sleeper4.1
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
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