THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Higgins
TE ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ3.3FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Higgins or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.7 for Elijah Higgins. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Noah Gray
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ3.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Elijah Higgins
FF3.3 FP
Boosted Trees2.5 FP
Workload3.6 FP
Monte Carlo3.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.7 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Higgins
Fortified3.3
ESPN3.2
Sleeper1.4
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Higgins faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.8 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.0
Sleeper3.2
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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